The recent softening of U.S.–China trade tensions has reinvigorated market optimism, pushing major indexes into bullish territory and lifting technical indicators into zones not seen since early spring. The S&P 500’s latest climb above its 200-day moving average, a key momentum benchmark, has sparked forecasts of record-breaking highs in the coming weeks. While traders remain cautiously optimistic, the evolving landscape of positioning, technical levels, and sentiment shifts suggests that this rally could be more than just a rebound. Erik Andersson, a senior market strategist at Horizon28, explores how these technical signals, in tandem with easing geopolitical risk, may shape the...
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Markets
Bond Markets, Rate Bets, and the Fog of Inflation: Decoding the Fed’s Uncertain Path
A softer-than-expected U.S. inflation report for April initially pushed Treasury yields lower, rekindling hopes for Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025. But by the end of the trading session, that optimism had faded as investors shifted into equities and weighed the implications of ongoing fiscal expansion, a temporary U.S.–China trade truce, and ambiguous forward guidance from the Fed. While Wall Street still prices in two quarter-point cuts by year-end, the timeline is drifting later into the calendar. Mihan Nikolic, a senior financial strategist at Horizon28, explores how this shifting environment is reshaping bond markets, rate expectations, and broader investor behavior....
Markets
Copper, Chaos, and Catch-Up: How a Trade Truce Unclogs America’s Scrap Metal Bottleneck
A sea of unused copper scrap piled up quietly across U.S. yards for weeks, until a 90-day ceasefire in the U.S.–China trade war offered an escape route. As tariffs are temporarily rolled back, exporters are scrambling to re-establish long-stalled trade flows, especially in industrial commodities like scrap copper. While the relief is tangible, uncertainty still clouds the longer-term picture. Ana Senic, a financial strategist at Horizon28, unpacks how this truce could shake up supply chains, pricing dynamics, and the global copper market as a whole, while cautioning that resolution may be further off than the headlines suggest. A Pause That...
Markets
Comeback Plays: Why 2025’s Market Laggards May Lead the Next Rally
After a turbulent first half of 2025, the U.S. equity landscape is showing signs of a reversal, not just in sentiment, but in leadership. Wall Street’s top trading desks are making a contrarian call: buy into the year’s underperformers. From small-cap names and tech hardware to debt-laden consumer stocks, what lagged during the last upswing could now be primed for a short-term sprint. As market volatility subsides amid a temporary trade détente, traders are preparing for a catch-up phase driven by positioning imbalances and mechanical flows. Ivan Stosic, senior market strategist at Horizon28, explores the reasoning behind this pivot—and the...
Trading
Markets in Motion: Why the Current Rally Feels Too Fast, Too Fragile
A sharp and unexpected rally has gripped equity markets, leaving many investors chasing momentum while quietly questioning its foundation. Spurred by temporary relief in U.S.–China trade tensions, coupled with economic resilience and fading volatility, the uptrend in global stocks has caught under-positioned players off guard. However, with few concrete data points backing the surge and risk appetite returning unevenly, the bullish momentum may be walking a tightrope. Alex van den Berg, senior strategist at Horizon28, explores the precarious mechanics of this rebound, the psychology behind investor hesitation, and what it may signal for the months ahead. Rising Without Roots: The...
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